Published on New Politics Institute (http://www.newpolitics.net)

Mobile Outreach this Election [1]

Mobile Media [2] | Wireless [3]

I am always looking for how the campaigns are using mobile media... and found this quote on MyDD [4] talking about the Obama camp use of the medium at their recent big events:

"Now today, I read an account of Obama's South Carolina Oprah rally and was impressed by the further innovation of how the campaign is continuing to exploit his crowds. This strikes me as rather brilliant.

The campaign attempted to organize that enthusiasm by asking the crowd to text their cell phone numbers to the campaign. Jeremy Bird and Anton Gunn, the campaign's field and political directors took the stage to ask the crowd to text their phone numbers to Obama's campaign. They also broke a Guinness World Record by conducting the world's largest phone bank, 36,426 people in the audience called four names of South Carolinian voters listed on the back of their tickets and asked them to support Barack Obama.

Here, we see his campaign collecting supporters' cell phone numbers rather than e-mail addresses for more immediate access to them, and has taken the exploitation of the crowds as activists one step further by actually having them make calls right there."

Cellphone Only Households and Polling [5]

Millennials [6] | Mobile Media [7] | Wireless [8]

A good NY Times story [9] that summarizes the latest information on cellphone only households in the US and how that will effect political polling perhaps as soon as next year:

A key quote:

"According to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s National Health Interview Survey, adults with cellphones and no land lines are more likely to be young — half of exclusively wireless users are younger than 30 — male, Hispanic, living in poverty, renting a residence and living in metropolitan regions.

The Pew Research Center conducted four studies last year on the differences between cellphone and land line respondents. The studies said the differences were not significant enough to influence surveys properly weighted to census data. With the increase in cellphone-only households, that may not be the case next year. Researchers, including the New York Times/CBS News poll will test that by incorporating cellphones in samples.

The estimates in the Health Interview Study suggest that cellphone-only households are steadily increasing.

“If the percentage of adults living in cell-only households continues to grow at the rate it has been growing for the past four years, I have projected that it will exceed 25 percent by the end of 2008,” Stephen J. Blumberg, a senior scientist at the National Center for Health Statistics, wrote in an e-mail message."

Nielson Study: Next Gen of Americans and Mobile Use [10]

Millennials [11] | Mobile Media [12]

Another media related study [13] was released today... this time on the next generation of Americans (and voters) on their use of mobile phones and their consumption of mobile media.

This is a Nielsen study on the "tweens" or 8 to 12 year olds. There should be a rule that once a technology reaches these numbers with 8 to 12 year olds, it's crossed a certain critical mass and can be officially deemed a "mass medium."

So for this wave, the report estimates that TODAY that:
* 35% of tweens own a mobile phone.
* 20% of tweens have used text messaging.
* 21% of tweens have used ring & answer tones.

 And it adds that "while text-messaging and ringtones remain the most pervasive non-voice functions on the phone, other content such as downloaded wallpapers, music, games and Internet access also rank highly among tweens."
Imagine how deep-rooted mobile media use will be for this generation when they begin voting in 6 years.

Globally Internet Advertising to Eclipse Radio Ad Spend by 2008 [14]

Internet [15] | Radio [16] | Search [17]

Signs of the times. AdAge [18] highlights a new survey on future advertising spending in the next several years.

A key forecast:

"We expect [online ad spend]  to overtake radio advertising in 2008; to attain a double-digit share of global advertising in 2009; and to overtake magazine advertising in 2010, with 11.5% of total ad spend."

It also lists that globally internet ad spending would grow to $44.6 billion from approximately $36 billion -  which would increase it's share of the market from  8.1 to 9.4 percent.

Verizon's New Strategy and its Effect on Mobile Media [19]

Mobile Media [20] | Tim Chambers [21] | Wireless [22]

This last Tuesday Verizon outlined a new more open strategy to supporting "any application, any device" [23] that meets their minimum technology requirements on their network by 2008. This dramatic move also offers that "any application the customer chooses will be allowed on these devices. "

The Verizon Wireless President called this "a transformation point in the 20-year history of mass market wireless devices – one which we believe will set the table for the next level of innovation and growth.”

With this new strategy, Verizon seems to be seeing that the benefits from being more open with their platform outweigh those of trying to maintain a more rigid, more controlled "closed garden" model.  

Some analysts believe that this move will broaden the number of "officially supported" devices on the Verizon network from what it is today (around  50 handsets) to somewhere more than 500 once developers have really begun taking advantage of this new offer.  I'd suspect that this would include many new devices that are not primarily voice based based, but that are pure data devices.

These new more broad pool of officially supported devices would then have to compete on offering a better consumer experience, and new and innovative features.

 And this speaks to an overall trend we've highlighted before on this blog about "smartphones" getting smarter... and continuing to grow into full fledged media devices.

New Media News and Trends to Watch Part II [24]

Internet [25] | Mobile Media [26] | Tim Chambers [27] | Viral Video [28]

Steve Job's Apple Mac World keynote just ended. [29]

In a quick update from the last posting [30] on new media news this week...

In what may take the wind out of almost any other announcements from CES this week... Apple just made two major product announcements, both important, and both illustrating the trends I mentioned in the previous posting...

The first announcement was that after selling over a2 billion tracks of music, 50 million TV shows and over 1.3 million movies, that they were now selling a new product dubbed AppleTV [31] that promises to seemlessly link the iTunes content to your living room. It was an impressive demo and the Apple TV orders are open now for the product shipping in February.

Next came the hoped for announcement of a new Apple phone, named the iPhone. [32]

The expectations for this were sky high and Jobs seemed to delivery an amazing looking product.

All flat screen with only one physical button, this product was in development for over 2 years, and uses a new touch screen interface called "multi-touch" that Steve claims is as revolutionary for phones as the mouse was for desktop computing or click wheel was for the iPod.

It touts an extremely high res screen, is sthinner than any current Smartphone on the market (beating out the Motorolla Q or Samsung Blackjack) ... It is a full featured 8 GB iPod music player, including widescreen video playback... RSS Video Podcasts just found a new mobile home... In addition to supporting Cingular's standard phone networks, it also supports a full WiFI hot spot connectivity and Bluetooth...

And it what looks like the most advanced web and email functionality yet shipped on mobile devices, with email support as robust as the Blackberry, along with messaging from SMS messaging and internet enabled Widgets or small applications for things such as stocks, weather, etc... And it is a camera phone with a 2 Megapixel camera built in.

Lastly and perhaps most importantly, it claims to be a superior phone as well, enabling one touch dialing, contact management, and simple conference call support. It support a wired phone headset and music earbuds, and an amazingly small looking bluetooth wireless earpiece. And it claims a much better and easier "visual voicemail."

It also has sensors that detect if you are viewing it in "portrait" or "landscape" mode and automatically redraw the screen appropriate to which direction you are holding the device.

A Flash animated tour of the iPhone is now up here [33]...

This will be available this summer from Cingular and Apple stores. The iPhone was announced this early as the FCC approval was about to start and Apple wanted to be the first to announce it rather than have details leak from the FCC website.

Jobs announce an early target was to sell 10 million iPhones.

Both products, but especially the iPhone look to be "game changing" devices for how media including political media -- is distributed and consumed...

New Media News and Trends to Watch [34]

Internet [35] | Mobile Media [36] | Tim Chambers [37] | Viral Video [38]

UPDATE More announcments:

Apple announces the final details on ITV, Renamed Apple TV, and looks like a great product. [39] 

And, this is huge: the  Apple iPHONE debut [40].

Both very likely "game changing" products. And both illustrate the trends below:

---- 

With this week being a convergence of both the Consumer Electronics Show in Vegas and the latest MacWorld developers conference, there is a ton of news relating to new media this week.

Travis sent me on this article that is a good overview [41] of the mobile news and the rumors of both these shows in general. Check it out.

I'd like to highlight a few specific CES announcements that point to trends which I think are important for political practitioners trying to make sense of the evolving post-broadcast media space.

First is the trend of "Internet media continuing to advance to the living room." See Bill Gates announcement of Internet TV and Media Downloads [42] to the 10+ million Xbox 360's that are already in consumers hands -- and to all future Xboxes...

...and also see the details on the likely Apple announcements about their new ITV paltform [43] linking Itunes Music and Video services to the home living room...many companies - including Microsoft - have failed at the PC to TV link before. Expectations are high that as they did with the iPod, this could be the new product that Apple gets right where so many others almost did.

...and on a more minor key but still worth note: Sony announced [44] that their new Bravia TV's would allow users to directly browse internet video services, including user generated content from the video service Grouper [45], that they bought late last year...

Next is the trend of "Web Search morphing to the mobile space." See Yahoo's announcement about Yahoo Go! Service [46] and thier bundling deals with major phone manufacturers. NPI has highlighted the key value of using search effectively [47] for political use. As Search moves into the mobile space, that value gets amped up even further.

Lastly for today, there is the trend of "Mobile Media evolving and maturing." For this see the announcement that Qualcom, Verizon and MediaFlo will launch about 8 to 10 channels of live streaming TV [48] to mobile phones this quarter in the US, this should broaden to be about 20 channels by end of 2007. Launch parters are announced as CBS, Comedy Central, Fox, MTV, NBC, and Nikelodeon. I can personally vouch that the quality level of this service is amazing.

(And it's hard to miss the rumors of a likely upcoming Apple Phone [49])

"Youth turnout in election biggest in 20 years" [50]

Millennials [51] | Tim Chambers [52]

From Rueters News [53] on the youth vote and the election, here are excerpts: 

"Young Americans voted in the largest numbers in at least 20 years in congressional elections...

About 24 percent of Americans under the age of 30, or at least 10 million young voters, cast ballots in Tuesday's elections that saw Democrats make big gains in Congress. That was up 4 percentage points from the last mid-term elections in 2002.

"This looks like the highest in 20 years," said Mark Lopez, research director of the Center for Information and Research on Civic Learning and Engagement, which compiled the data based on exit polls....

 Rock the Vote, a youth-and-civics group, said young voters favored Democrats by a 22-point margin, nearly three times the margin Democrats earned among other age groups and dealing a potentially decisive blow to Republicans in tight races...

 Future elections could also be at stake. The "Generation Y" of Americans born from 1977 to 1994 -- shaped by the September 11 attacks, the Iraq war and Hurricane Katrina -- in nine years will make up a third of the electorate."

YouTube to be fully on Mobile Devices by 2007 [54]

Internet [55] | Mobile Media [56] | Tim Chambers [57] | Viral Video [58]

This Reuters story [59] shows YouTube/Google’s strategy for mobile devices more clearly than anything I’d seen publicly before…They plan to have the full service mobilized by end of 2007. And folks thought viral video was a factor in this years election, just wait for 08:

“Chad Hurley, YouTube chief executive and co-founder, told an advertising conference that offering video services on mobile phones was a key opportunity for the company.

“Within the next year we hope to have something on a mobile device, it’s going to be a huge market, especially for the video mind-set we’re dealing with, it’s a natural transition,” said Hurley…

In May, YouTube launched its YouTube To Go service to enable users to upload clips directly from their mobile phones to view on the Web site on their personal computers.

Already many of the clips seen on YouTube are captured by users with their cellphones. A new mobile service could enable users to share videos with others in the YouTube community directly via their phones.”

Two New Media Political Efforts to Check Out [60]

Internet [61] | Tim Chambers [62] | Viral Video [63]

In the final days of the campaign two new media efforts caught my eye...

Firstly, as much as viral video has been a part of various elections, I came across one implementation that would reward attention.

In the online video space in addition to YouTube and it's various clones, another there is a company called Brightcove [64]...I've been a fan of their solution for a while now...it is a commercial platform for ad supported or subscription commercial net delivered video content. This allows small or large businesses to stream their content to users over the Internet, but it also gives buisnesses nearly complete control over the user interface, branding, unlike services such as YouTube.

The first political effort I've seen using Brightcove solution is Deval Patrick in the Massachusets Governor's race...Check out Deval Patrick TV [65] to get a sense of what Brightcove enables, and what they did with it... Good stuff.

Secondly, in a season that saw the first nascent mobile efforts by folks like John Edwards, Arnold Schwarzenegger's, Rick Santorum, etc...I've come across the best integrated mobile call to action in a traditional campaign commercial that I've seen yet. It's from the Coalition for Progress...Here it is... [66]

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[4] http://www.mydd.com/story/2007/12/9/17518/9984
[5] http://www.newpolitics.net/node/470
[6] http://www.newpolitics.net/taxonomy/term/28
[7] http://www.newpolitics.net/taxonomy/term/24
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[9] http://www.nytimes.com/2007/12/07/us/07polling.html?_r=2&oref=slogin&oref=slogin
[10] http://www.newpolitics.net/node/468
[11] http://www.newpolitics.net/taxonomy/term/28
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[13] http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=104&STORY=/www/story/12-03-2007/0004715443&EDATE=
[14] http://www.newpolitics.net/node/467
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[16] http://www.newpolitics.net/taxonomy/term/33
[17] http://www.newpolitics.net/taxonomy/term/22
[18] http://adage.com/article.php?article_id=122346
[19] http://www.newpolitics.net/node/463
[20] http://www.newpolitics.net/taxonomy/term/24
[21] http://www.newpolitics.net/taxonomy/term/17
[22] http://www.newpolitics.net/taxonomy/term/37
[23] http://news.vzw.com/news/2007/11/pr2007-11-27.html
[24] http://www.newpolitics.net/node/252
[25] http://www.newpolitics.net/taxonomy/term/56
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[29] http://www.engadget.com/2007/01/09/live-from-macworld-2007-steve-jobs-keynote/
[30] http://ndnblog.org/?q=node/616
[31] http://www.apple.com/appletv/
[32] http://www.apple.com/iphone/
[33] http://www.apple.com/iphone/
[34] http://www.newpolitics.net/node/251
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[41] http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/01/07/yourmoney/mobile.php
[42] http://xbox360.vggen.com/news/news.php?id=3343
[43] http://www.lightreading.com/document.asp?doc_id=113938
[44] http://sev.prnewswire.com/computer-electronics/20070107/NYSU01008012007-1.html
[45] http://www.grouper.com/
[46] http://www.telecom.paper.nl/news/article.aspx?id=153550
[47] http://www.newpolitics.net/content_areas/new_tools_campaign/use_search
[48] http://www.infosyncworld.com/news/n/7345.html
[49] http://news.com.com/Phone, video hub expected at Macworld/2100-1041_3-6147938.html?tag=nefd.lede
[50] http://www.newpolitics.net/node/214
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[65] http://www.devalpatrick.tv/
[66] http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PSqHQMsSNUw
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